Quantitatively self demographic effects of Chinese population transition show that demographic effects on quantity will persist for a long time, and the positive or negative effects on age-structure will undulate and wither away in the end. The Chinese population transition and the intended low fertility in the future will jointly bring on the level of age increase, demographic dividend change, and the other demographic variables. As a Chinese population strategy, the attention should be paid to self demographic effects on quantity and age-structure, and the moderate low-fertility should be kept in China at present and in the future.
尹文耀 钱明亮. 中国生育率转变的人口自效应研究[J]. 浙江大学学报(人文社会科学版), 2010, 40(6): 30-.
Yin Wenyao Qian Mingliang. A Study of Self Demographic Effects of Chinese Population Transition. , 2010, 40(6): 30-.